Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
32.1%	28.43%	39.47%

Both teams to score 46.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.82%

60.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.63%

80.37%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29%

29.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23%

65.77%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 32.09%

Cardiff City 39.47%

Draw 28.41%

Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.09%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.47%