Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Millwall
31.88%	30.01%	38.11%

Both teams to score 41.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.62%

65.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84%

84.15%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53%

37.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75%

74.25%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8%

33.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2%

69.8%

Score Analysis

Derby County 31.87%

Millwall 38.1%

Draw 30%

Derby County	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.75% Total : 31.87%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.43% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30%	0-1 @ 13.71% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.1%