This is a huge game for both sides at a vital stage of the season, and it is set to be a fascinating match at Ewood Park. Derby are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we are expecting Blackburn's home form to help them secure an important three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
