This is a huge game for both sides at a vital stage of the season, and it is set to be a fascinating match at Ewood Park. Derby are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we are expecting Blackburn's home form to help them secure an important three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
55.79%	24.43%	19.78%

Both teams to score 47.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34%

53.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84%

75.16%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87%

19.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22%

50.78%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29%

41.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.81%

78.19%

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 55.78%

Derby County 19.78%

Draw 24.43%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 5.26% 4-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.95% Total : 55.78%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.78%