SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
42.25% ( -0.16) | 25.71% ( 0.25) | 32.04% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -1.08) | 49.71% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -0.98) | 71.72% ( 0.97) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.55) | 23.37% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.81) | 57.34% ( 0.81) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.59) | 29.16% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.73) | 65.1% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.04% |
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