Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
42.39% ( 0.02) | 26.35% ( 0.02) | 31.26% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( -0.1) | 52.59% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% ( -0.08) | 74.24% ( 0.08) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( -0.03) | 24.57% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( -0.05) | 59.06% ( 0.05) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( -0.08) | 31.14% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( -0.09) | 67.47% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.27% |
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