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ML
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
LT

Middlesbrough
vs.
Luton

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship

We say: Middlesbrough 1-1 Luton Town

With Boro having finally hit the goal trail in midweek, they will be confident on building on that performance. However, Luton may have finally turned the corner, leading us to predict a hard-fought draw for the Hatters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Luton Town win it is 0-1 (5.91%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
55.56% (0.752 0.75) 22.86% (-0.227 -0.23) 21.58% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (0.36199999999999 0.36)45.14% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.34500000000001 0.35)67.48% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.389 0.39)16.1% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (0.707 0.71)45.5% (-0.707 -0.71)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.295 -0.3)34.99% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.26% (-0.31 -0.31)71.74% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.55%
    Luton Town 21.58%
    Draw 22.86%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.72% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-3 Middlesbrough
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Luton
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship


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