SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Luton Town |
61.13% ( -0.01) | 20.38% ( -0.01) | 18.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.12) | 38.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.48% ( 0.13) | 60.52% ( -0.12) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.04) | 12.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.36% ( 0.07) | 37.64% ( -0.07) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.1) | 34.11% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( 0.11) | 70.8% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 18.49% |
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