Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.