SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
49.89% ( 1.77) | 24.95% ( -0.47) | 25.15% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.9) | 50.38% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.79) | 72.32% ( -0.79) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 1.12) | 20.21% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( 1.76) | 52.52% ( -1.76) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.61) | 34.67% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( -0.65) | 71.39% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.15% |
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