SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Burnley |
36.59% ( 0.2) | 26.43% ( 0.39) | 36.98% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -1.66) | 52.03% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -1.45) | 73.76% ( 1.45) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.67) | 27.47% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( -0.87) | 62.96% ( 0.88) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -1.11) | 27.24% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( -1.47) | 62.67% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.98% |
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