SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
58.88% ( -0.18) | 22.08% ( 0.3) | 19.04% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( -1.48) | 45.13% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -1.43) | 67.48% ( 1.43) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -0.55) | 14.98% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.57% ( -1.06) | 43.43% ( 1.05) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.98) | 37.58% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( -0.98) | 74.36% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
