SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Burnley |
54.75% ( 0.05) | 23.09% ( -0.14) | 22.16% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.73) | 45.44% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( 0.7) | 67.78% ( -0.7) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.28) | 16.49% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( 0.51) | 46.2% ( -0.51) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.5) | 34.62% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% ( 0.52) | 71.34% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.16% |
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