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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
BL

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Baker (75' pen.)
Sterling (9'), Thompson (57'), Fox (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Jutkiewicz (8'), Bielik (31'), Chong (75'), Sanderson (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke are enduring an indifferent start to their Championship campaign and will be looking to improve their home form in order to climb up the standings, starting with a positive result against Birmingham. Birmingham have been a hard nut to crack for most opponents so far this season and will be confident in collecting at least a point on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
49.36% (0.118 0.12) 26.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)56.96% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.058 -0.06)77.86% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)57.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.147 -0.15)39.17% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.136 -0.14)75.89% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.36%
    Birmingham City 24.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 QPR
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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