SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.36% ( 0.12) | 26.48% ( -0) | 24.16% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.07) | 56.96% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( -0.06) | 77.86% ( 0.06) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.02) | 23.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( 0.03) | 57.02% ( -0.03) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.83% ( -0.15) | 39.17% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.12% ( -0.14) | 75.89% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.16% |
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