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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
NL

Burnley
1 - 0
Norwich

Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Rodriguez (38'), Tella (58'), Cork (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aarons (21'), Hayden (27'), Hanley (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Norwich City

Victory for either side at Turf Moor would send a message to the rest of the league as to their promotion credentials, although a tight affair could be on the cards on Friday. Burnley have already drawn three of their opening four home games this term and we can see the points being shared once again in Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
47.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.51% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)70.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 47.76%
    Norwich City 26.75%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Stoke
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Luton
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Norwich
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship


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