SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.6% ( 0.15) | 24.83% ( 0.03) | 32.57% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.22) | 45.67% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -0.2) | 67.99% ( 0.2) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.02) | 21.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( -0.03) | 54.49% ( 0.03) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.22) | 26.84% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.29) | 62.14% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.57% |
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