SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
58.15% ( -0.73) | 21.61% ( 0.17) | 20.23% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( 0.01) | 41.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% ( 0.01) | 63.73% ( -0.01) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( -0.22) | 13.95% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.57% ( -0.43) | 41.43% ( 0.43) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( 0.56) | 34.14% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% ( 0.6) | 70.83% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 58.15% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.23% |
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