SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Luton Town |
35.97% ( 0.12) | 24.18% ( -0.02) | 39.85% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.66% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( 0.11) | 41.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.11) | 64.27% ( -0.11) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0.11) | 23.09% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( 0.16) | 56.93% ( -0.16) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( 0) | 21.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( -0) | 53.98% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 39.85% |
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