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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
37.52% ( -1.49) | 28.29% ( -0.36) | 34.19% ( 1.85) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% ( 1.51) | 59.39% ( -1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% ( 1.15) | 79.77% ( -1.15) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.15) | 30.49% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( -0.18) | 66.71% ( 0.17) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( 2.07) | 32.62% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( 2.26) | 69.16% ( -2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.19% |
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