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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Preston North End has a probability of 33.51% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Preston North End win is 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
33.51% ( 0.24) | 26.59% ( -0.18) | 39.91% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% ( 0.78) | 52.96% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% ( 0.66) | 74.56% ( -0.66) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.55) | 29.82% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.66) | 65.9% ( -0.66) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.33) | 26.04% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 0.44) | 61.07% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.9% |
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