We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Derby have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home turf so far and will fancy their chances of securing a positive result, albeit against more illustrious opponents, and while we expect them to put in a good shift, we are also backing West Brom to get the job done come the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
