Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.