Luton will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy loss at Watford that ended an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the Championship when Sunderland visit on Saturday afternoon.
Both sides have attacking talent to trouble defences and both have been letting in plenty of goals of late, so we are anticipating an exciting encounter at Kenilworth Road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.13) 
0.04) 
