Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Valencia |
63.92% ( -0.57) | 20.68% ( 0.11) | 15.41% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( 0.43) | 45.19% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( 0.41) | 67.53% ( -0.41) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.56% ( -0.03) | 13.44% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.59% ( -0.07) | 40.41% ( 0.07) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58% ( 0.89) | 42% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.56% ( 0.76) | 78.43% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Valencia |
2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.87% Total : 63.9% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.41% |
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