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Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
VL

Leeds
2 - 1
Valencia

Fernandez (14'), Rutter (45')
Ampadu (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tejon Fauli (89')
Mir (50'), Guerra (56')
Mir (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Leeds
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Levante
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Valencia

Unbeaten in pre-season so far, Leeds should be full of confidence and desperate to impress their Elland Road faithful before the start of competitive action next weekend. Valencia are behind the Whites in their summer schedule and have struggled so far, meaning that we cannot envisage the Spaniards earning a result in Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawValencia
63.92% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57) 20.68% (0.111 0.11) 15.41% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.753 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (0.43 0.43)45.19% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.41 0.41)67.53% (-0.407 -0.41)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.56% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)13.44% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.59% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)40.41% (0.073 0.07)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (0.893 0.89)42% (-0.89 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.56% (0.764 0.76)78.43% (-0.762 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.9%
    Valencia 15.41%
    Draw 20.68%
Leeds UnitedDrawValencia
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 63.9%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.26% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Leeds
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Norwich
Thursday, May 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Leeds
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Levante
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, July 24 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Castellon
Saturday, July 20 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Girona
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga


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