SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
54.69% ( 0.09) | 23.31% ( -0.07) | 21.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( 0.29) | 46.58% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( 0.27) | 68.85% ( -0.28) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( 0.14) | 16.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.03% ( 0.24) | 46.97% ( -0.25) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.14) | 35.41% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 0.15) | 72.17% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.69% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.99% |
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