Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
54.69% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() | 21.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.42% (![]() | 46.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% (![]() | 68.85% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.09% (![]() | 16.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.03% (![]() | 46.97% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% (![]() | 35.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% (![]() | 72.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.64% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.69% | 1-1 @ 11.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.99% |
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