SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
30.37% ( 0.17) | 25.56% ( 0.54) | 44.07% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -2.23) | 49.72% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -2.03) | 71.73% ( 2.03) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -1.01) | 30.3% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( -1.23) | 66.48% ( 1.23) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( -1.26) | 22.5% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( -1.93) | 56.07% ( 1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.07% |
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