SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Norwich City |
29.92% ( -0.16) | 24.88% ( 0.05) | 45.2% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -0.32) | 46.98% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( -0.3) | 69.23% ( 0.3) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.27) | 29.23% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.34) | 65.18% ( 0.34) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.08) | 20.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.13) | 53.52% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.92% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.2% |
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