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NL
Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
LT

Norwich
0 - 1
Luton


Cantwell (75')
McLean (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (62')
Potts (74'), Adebayo (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Luton Town

Norwich's mini-slump is slightly concerning, but they are still scoring goals and playing well at home. Luton should not be taken lightly, though, and we expect them to leave Carrow Road with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
46.28% (0.225 0.23) 25.67% (-0.524 -0.52) 28.05% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.29% (1.803 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (2.247 2.25)51.32% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (1.929 1.93)73.14% (-1.935 -1.94)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (1.058 1.06)22.16% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (1.571 1.57)55.55% (-1.576 -1.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (1.419 1.42)32.82% (-1.424 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (1.55 1.55)69.39% (-1.555 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.28%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.679 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.258 0.26)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Norwich
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Luton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-3 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Luton
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Coventry
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship


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