Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Luton Town |
46.28% ( 0.23) | 25.67% ( -0.52) | 28.05% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( 1.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( 2.25) | 51.32% ( -2.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% ( 1.93) | 73.14% ( -1.94) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( 1.06) | 22.16% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( 1.57) | 55.55% ( -1.58) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 1.42) | 32.82% ( -1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% ( 1.55) | 69.39% ( -1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.05% |
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