Both teams will fight hard to return to winning ways in Staffordshire on Saturday, but we struggle to pick a winner and anticipate the visiting Hatters doing enough to deny Neil a first win and force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
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