Burnley are only small margins away from running clear of their promotion rivals in the Championship this season.
Tony Mowbray will need a response from his side against a visiting team who are a dozen games unbeaten, and considering the possible injury to Alese this game is unlikely to see any Sunderland success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
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