This is arguably the most attractive match of the second tier this weekend, and we expect strong performances to boot. However, the Baggies may just about edge this contest, taking advantage of more inconsistency from Luton who have just three home wins all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
40.59% ( -0.01)	26.68% ( 0)	32.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48% (

53.52% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96% (

-0)

75.04% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0)

25.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.01)

60.93% (

0.01)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

0.01)

30.61% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

0.01)

66.85% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 40.59%

West Bromwich Albion 32.73%

Draw 26.68%

Luton Town	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.73%