SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Norwich City |
42.78% ( 0.17) | 26.61% ( -0.16) | 30.61% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( 0.6) | 53.86% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( 0.5) | 75.32% ( -0.51) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.36) | 24.94% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.5) | 59.57% ( -0.5) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( 0.3) | 32.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.25% ( 0.34) | 68.75% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.61% |
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