SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Reading |
66.56% ( -0.35) | 19.96% ( 0.17) | 13.48% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% ( -0.35) | 46.07% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( -0.33) | 68.37% ( 0.34) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.21) | 12.93% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.61% ( -0.42) | 39.39% ( 0.42) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.05) | 45.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.83% ( 0.04) | 81.17% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Reading |
| 2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.96% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.48% |
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