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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
LL

Norwich
1 - 1
Leeds

Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds have largely been defensively excellent this season; they may not be able to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday due to Norwich's quality in the final third of the field, but we are still backing the Whites to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.073 0.07) 22.65% (0.218 0.22) 51.97% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.962 -0.96)40.11% (0.963 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-1.002 -1)62.48% (1.002 1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)28.97% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.57 -0.57)64.87% (0.572 0.57)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.44 -0.44)15.55% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.828 -0.83)44.48% (0.829 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 25.38%
    Leeds United 51.97%
    Draw 22.65%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.197 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Watford
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-0 Norwich
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship


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