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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
ML

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Ng (39')
Chambers (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Preston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Millwall

Despite Riza's affirmations that he saw some encouraging stuff from Cardiff in their loss to Hull, the Bluebirds' defensive deficiencies are there to be exposed by a Millwall side on cloud nine. While we still have faith in Cardiff to end their barren scoreless streak on home soil, we also anticipate Harris's troops having enough in the attacking tank to earn their first away win of the league season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
30.78% (0.198 0.2) 27.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 41.87% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)56.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (0.13300000000001 0.13)33.56% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.146 0.15)70.21% (-0.149 -0.15)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)26.68% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.171 -0.17)61.93% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 30.78%
    Millwall 41.87%
    Draw 27.34%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.78%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-5 Southampton
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Preston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship


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