SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
40.68% ( -0.52) | 27.06% ( 0.89) | 32.26% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -3.67) | 55.12% ( 3.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -3.11) | 76.37% ( 3.11) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( -1.94) | 26.62% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.15% ( -2.65) | 61.85% ( 2.65) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( -2.1) | 31.74% ( 2.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.83% ( -2.48) | 68.17% ( 2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 1.14)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.42)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.26% |
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