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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
NL

Watford
2 - 1
Norwich

Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Kamara (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sargent (45')
Aarons (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Watford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Norwich City

Both sides have a host of attacking quality which suggests this clash could be an entertaining one between two promotion-chasing clubs. Norwich have had the better start to the season but you expect Watford to move up the table as Slaven Bilic puts his imprint onto his team, which could start with a point at home this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.6% (-0.029 -0.03) 45.99% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (0.10299999999999 0.1)55.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.53% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)35.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.090999999999994 0.09)58.26% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 27.41%
    Norwich City 45.98%
    Draw 26.6%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 12.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Watford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Watford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Norwich
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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