Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
