Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Derby County |
53.62% | 24.54% | 21.85% |
Both teams to score 49.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% | 51.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% | 73.54% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.75% | 19.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.03% | 50.97% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.53% | 38.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% | 75.22% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.96% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.08% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: