After hard-fought wins over Burnley and Leeds at The Den, we feel that Millwall could run out of steam on the road in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon.
A drop in energy levels from the Lions should open the door for Stoke to collect their third straight victory in the Championship ahead of the international pause.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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