Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
