Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
