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Friday, November 8
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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
PN

Millwall
3 - 1
Preston

Honeyman (24'), Esse (38'), Langstaff (47')
Honeyman (39'), Bryan (86'), Emakhu (89')
Emakhu (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Storey (87')
Holmes (42'), McCann (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Blackburn
Sunday, September 22 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Preston North End

Although Preston are yet to win on their travels in the league, earning a draw at Middlesbrough was a step in the right direction. With that in mind, we are backing them to edge out their hosts in a competitive encounter in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
41.55% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 27.44% (-0.187 -0.19) 31.01% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.54% (0.58 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (0.714 0.71)56.89% (-0.713 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.569 0.57)77.81% (-0.56699999999999 -0.57)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.387 0.39)26.97% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (0.502 0.5)62.31% (-0.502 -0.5)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.44499999999999 0.44)33.54% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.482 0.48)70.18% (-0.48100000000001 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.55%
    Preston North End 31.01%
    Draw 27.44%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-3 Millwall
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Blackburn
Sunday, September 22 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Fulham (16-15 pen.)
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Preston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Harrogate 0-5 Preston
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Luton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship


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