Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.