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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
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LT

Reading
1 - 1
Luton

Carroll (51')
Carroll (15'), Hendrick (34'), Lumley (79'), Holmes (89')
Carroll (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (80')
Doughty (60'), Drameh (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-2 Luton Town

Having successfully kept out Burnley on Saturday, Hunt will back his Reading side to do the same versus Luton. However, the visitors are more motivated than the nearly-crowned champions, and we feel that Edwards's side will cement their playoff place in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawLuton Town
19.68% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 54.28% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.73% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)59.43% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)79.8% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (0.058 0.06)45.19% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)81.08% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.04% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.38% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Reading 19.68%
    Luton Town 54.27%
    Draw 26.03%
ReadingDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 4.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.68%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 15.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Birmingham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Reading
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship


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