SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
48.42% ( 0.01) | 25.39% ( -0.01) | 26.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.03) | 51.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.03) | 73.19% ( -0.03) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.02) | 21.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 0.02) | 54.13% ( -0.02) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.02) | 34.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( 0.02) | 71.04% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.18% |
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