Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
