SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Luton Town |
41.67% ( -0.19) | 24.65% ( 0.05) | 33.68% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.17) | 44.52% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.16) | 66.88% ( 0.16) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.16) | 21.41% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -0.25) | 54.4% ( 0.25) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( 0.01) | 60.5% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.68% |
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