Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 30.42% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Burnley win is 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).