Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
41.24% (![]() | 27.08% (![]() | 31.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.67% (![]() | 55.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% (![]() | 76.54% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% (![]() | 26.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% (![]() | 61.57% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% (![]() | 32.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% (![]() | 68.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 11.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 12.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: