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SL
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
BL

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley


Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 Burnley

Failing to find a spark against Preston last time out, Stoke look set for another frustrating match in front of goal this weekend when they face a stubborn Burnley outfit. The Clarets eased past Coventry on Tuesday night and should be confident of repeating the trick against the Potters on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
41.24% (0.124 0.12) 27.08% (0.029 0.03) 31.68% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.155 -0.16)55.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.127 -0.13)76.54% (0.125 0.13)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)32.25% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.212 -0.21)68.75% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.24%
    Burnley 31.68%
    Draw 27.07%
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Stoke
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Derby
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Stoke
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Burnley
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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