SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
49.2% ( -0.53) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 26.34% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( 0.24) | 47.41% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( 0.22) | 69.63% ( -0.22) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( -0.12) | 19.32% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.93% ( -0.19) | 51.08% ( 0.2) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0.53) | 32.1% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( 0.6) | 68.58% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.34% |
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