Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Huddersfield Town win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.